The Winners And Losers Of Q3

Over the past six months, the energy sector has outperformed the S&P 500. Here were the biggest winners (and losers) from Q3.

The third quarter of the year is in the books. The S&P 500 returned 7.7% for the quarter, its best quarterly performance in nearly five years.

The rally was broad-based, according to the Select Sector SPDR exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that divide the S&P 500 into sector index funds. However, performance within the energy sector was mixed.

The Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) tracks a market-cap-weighted index of US energy companies in the S&P 500. The XLE represents the stocks of large energy companies from different sub-sectors (e.g., integrated, oil production, equipment services). It is, therefore, a good benchmark for conservative energy investors. Some of the XLE’s biggest holdings are ExxonMobil, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, EOG Resources, and Schlumberger.

Following a second quarter that saw the XLE rise by more than 13%, the third quarter returned a more modest 0.4%, but numbers for individual companies varied greatly within the sector.

The integrated supermajors returned an average of 2.3% for the quarter. They were led by Total’s 7.7% return for the quarter, while Chevron was the laggard with a return of -2.4%.

Among the major upstream companies, companies that are primarily oil producers did well. Marathon Oil and ConocoPhillips led the way with respective returns for the quarter of 11.9% and 11.6%.

Some natural gas producers, on the other hand, saw double-digit losses for the quarter as supply continues to outpace logistics in the Marcellus and Utica shales. EQT was the quarter’s worst upstream natural gas performer with a quarterly decline of 19.8%.

The long-suffering midstream sector saw more than a dozen companies with double-digit returns. Leading the way was the 34.7% return of Dominion Energy Midstream Partners, which is entertaining a buyout offer from its parent Dominion Energy.

The refiners were the only segment in the oil and gas sector to outperform the S&P 500 in Q3, with an average return of 8.3%. The refining sector was led by PBF Energy’s 19.8% return, and Marathon Petroleum’s 14.6% return.

Over the past six months, the XLE has returned 14.6%, versus 10.8% for the S&P 500. With both oil and natural gas moving higher over the past month, the fourth quarter is off to a promising start as well.

Follow Robert Rapier on TwitterLinkedIn, or Facebook.

Author: Robert Rapier

Robert Rapier is a seasoned chemical engineer with three decades of international experience in the energy sector. He holds undergraduate degrees in chemistry and mathematics, and a master’s in chemical engineering. Robert has worked extensively in oil refining, production, synthetic fuels, biomass energy, and alcohol production, earning several patents along the way. As Editor-in-Chief of Shale Magazine and a prolific author for Investing Daily, he shares his expertise through various newsletters and his latest book, American Energy: A History of Power, Progress, and Change. Robert's insights have been featured on 60 Minutes, The History Channel, CNBC, and PBS, among others. His articles have appeared in top publications like the Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, and The Economist. For nearly a decade, he has covered the energy sector for Forbes.